Afghanistan: Projected COVID-19 Sub-national Cases

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought into stark focus the need for data and the value of models to inform response strategies. Since March, the Centre has been working with the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) to develop a COVID-19 model adapted for use in humanitarian contexts. Access the - [code repository](https://github.com/OCHA-DAP/pa-ocha-bucky) , including all the source code scripts necessary to run the model. View the - [technical documentation](https://ocha-bucky.readthedocs.io/en/latest/) and - [FAQs](https://ocha-bucky.readthedocs.io/en/latest/faq.html) explaining how to configure and run the source code in the repository. Download the - [methodology paper](https://s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/hdx-ckan-filestore-prod/resources/2d9592f8-2980-4466-96f5-f0de23ea7ffa/ochabucky_final.pdf?X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Expires=180&X-Amz-Credential=AKIARZNKTAO7U6UN77MP%2F20201130%2Feu-central-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&X-Amz-Date=20201130T094845Z&X-Amz-Signature=9b35288654c79b895b900198e5a75e5fd00d447dd7f487445897dad6f4301fc3) providing details on model assumptions and the main equations. Access - [biweekly reports] (https://drive.google.com/drive/u/1/folders/16FR8owccpfIm-tspdAa4YTEwPoZKHtvI) for six countries. Download the - [OCHA-Bucky model card](https://s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/hdx-ckan-filestore-prod/resources/89a2ff67-ef20-4005-9732-bfc23d76bf4b/ocha-bucky-model-card.pdf?X-Amz-Algorithm=AWS4-HMAC-SHA256&X-Amz-Expires=180&X-Amz-Credential=AKIARZNKTAO7U6UN77MP%2F20201130%2Feu-central-1%2Fs3%2Faws4_request&X-Amz-SignedHeaders=host&X-Amz-Date=20201130T095024Z&X-Amz-Signature=a322a7e660bfa47675a9f6b16f0c25105c1b55b5c2407652182d0a90c91c8554) created according to the Centre’s Peer Review Framework. The result is a model, named OCHA-Bucky, that forecasts the number of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths over two or four weeks, at the subnational and national levels. Files (slice {"file": url}): - AFG_npi_adm0_quantiles.csv (csv): https://raw.githubusercontent.com/OCHA-DAP/pa-COVID-model-reports/master/Bucky_results/AFG_npi/adm0_quantiles.csv - AFG_npi_adm1_quantiles.csv (csv): https://raw.githubusercontent.com/OCHA-DAP/pa-COVID-model-reports/master/Bucky_results/AFG_npi/adm1_quantiles.csv - AFG_no_npi_adm0_quantiles.csv (csv): https://raw.githubusercontent.com/OCHA-DAP/pa-COVID-model-reports/master/Bucky_results/AFG_no_npi/adm0_quantiles.csv - AFG_no_npi_adm1_quantiles.csv (csv): https://raw.githubusercontent.com/OCHA-DAP/pa-COVID-model-reports/master/Bucky_results/AFG_no_npi/adm1_quantiles.csv

Cite as: Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Lab. Afghanistan: Projected COVID-19 Sub-national Cases. https://data.humdata.org/dataset/afghanistan-projected-covid-19-sub-national-cases